I will gladly confess to knowing nothing about earthquake predictability, but part of me thinks that the so-called 'experts' should be able to do better than a '25 percent probability that the next big earthquake with a magnitude of 7 will occur on the San Andreas Fault within 150 miles of San Francisco sometime during the next 20 years.' Cool. It also might rain somewhere on the West Coast in the next 2 months.
I am not impressed.
Article at SFGate.com.